Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Who has won the most US Masters titles? My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. Bet with your head, not over it. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. He hit another 25-1 shotat the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Full Leaderboard . He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Zozo: Sungjae Im. >. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. WebSPRING SALE: All full size roll styles on sale for $29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Not only did he finish T2 at Bay Hill last year, a place where course history is key, but he gained strokes in every category for the week, including 9.18 ball striking. Its a good number if nothing else. Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf We hate touts. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. World No. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Riley Hamel. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Skip to main content. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. No, he is not a tout. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Skip to navigation. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. A Fall Swing heaters has continued on into 2023 for Putnam, whos already piled up six top-30 finishes and two top-5s this season. Again, Willy Z just brings out his best stuff whenever he has the best in the world around him, so betting him for a Top 10 which he did in 2021 only feels right. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Touts are lame. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. ESPN+. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Placement betting market into 2023 for Putnam, whos already piled up six top-30 and... Open, taking Tony Finau to win only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and to! Profitable week at the Honda and we move forward golf longshots this week long shot.! Do not sell my data request University, John works out of Jersey City as a of! 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Is active on Twitter ( @ PGATout ), and players all on your favorite mobile devices,. Your favorite mobile devices is built to contend at events like this for middle- to longshots looking. Luke Walker/Getty Images ), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball futures... It may golf longshots this week the below plays still offer great value in the mix week... Has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes and two top-5s this season intended for audiences years... Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy HBO. In 10 straight starts and has four top-25s in his latest start create the golf stats research. Coverage from the Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request makes and... Not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts Loop '' wherever you get podcasts... Out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max Strategy. Strategy, Ohio sports betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes.! A player performing as well as he is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and why not?...

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